Market Overview

Podcast on Macro to Micro in Markets

Podcast on Macro to Micro in Markets

This past week, we have written a lot about tech (another AI generated photo), the discordance between the small caps…
Here’s Why This 10-Year Bear Market Generally Results in a 10-Year Bull Market

Here’s Why This 10-Year Bear Market Generally Results in a 10-Year Bull Market

  German engineering used to be world-renowned. Revered, the epitome of manufacturing and perfection. You didn’t want a German girlfriend.…
As Debt Ceiling Debate Continues, Investors Digest Bearish Inflation News

As Debt Ceiling Debate Continues, Investors Digest Bearish Inflation News

  (Friday market open) We’re getting close to the so-called “X-date” of June 1 when the government might run out…
Dollar Pauses for Breath Ahead of Inflation Data, Tech Rally Eases

Dollar Pauses for Breath Ahead of Inflation Data, Tech Rally Eases

  Fed rate cut bets continue to be priced out, all eyes on core PCE inflation US dollar softer today…
The Deflation Dilemma: Unmasking the Silent Threat Looming Over U.S. Economy

The Deflation Dilemma: Unmasking the Silent Threat Looming Over U.S. Economy

Over the last two years, inflation has been a big threat. And for good reason. Post-COVID, all three levers –…
Wall St. Turns Chipper After Nvidia Report, But Debt Ceiling Cloud Still Overhead

Wall St. Turns Chipper After Nvidia Report, But Debt Ceiling Cloud Still Overhead

  Debt ceiling progress remains elusive with a week to go until the “X-date” when U.S. coffers run dry, but…
U.S. Debt-Ceiling Deal Remains Elusive as Default Risk Nears

U.S. Debt-Ceiling Deal Remains Elusive as Default Risk Nears

  The contrast could hardly be more striking. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy emerged from yesterday’s latest round of negotiations with…
Gold and Yen Scorched by Rising Yields, Nvidia Saves Stocks

Gold and Yen Scorched by Rising Yields, Nvidia Saves Stocks

  Dollar continues its grind higher, empowered by Fed bets and risk aversion Gold gets burned by rising yields, central…
The Great Catch-Up: Why Wages Are Set to Rise for Good

The Great Catch-Up: Why Wages Are Set to Rise for Good

Blowback has its own dynamics, as we’ll learn in the decade ahead. One of the most durable expectations in the…
Energy Prices Remain Strong as Most Commodities Weaken on Debt Deal, Fed Skip

Energy Prices Remain Strong as Most Commodities Weaken on Debt Deal, Fed Skip

  EIA Report: Inventories fall by 12.46 million barrels vs 932K expected build Gold struggles as sticky inflation could support…
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